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[ Pobierz całość w formacie PDF ] SUZYMENKES A TOUCH OF DESIRE PAGE 9 | FASHION PARIS HOWLONG? THE PRIDE OF TOTTENHAM PAGE 14 | SOCCER TOOZ, BOLDLY DISNEY RISKS THE RAINBOWAGAIN PAGE 17 | BUSINESS ASIAWITH THE GLOBAL EDITION OF THE NEW YORK TIMES TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2013 GLOBAL.NYTIMES.COM As hacking against U.S. rises, goals are unclear Taking reins, Xi shores up support from within army SAN FRANCISCO HONG KONG Motives in cyberattacks, and how best to respond, can be hard to determine Backing for new leader is stronger than usual as Parliament session opens BY NICOLE PERLROTH, DAVID E. SANGER ANDMICHAEL S. SCHMIDT When Telvent, a company that monitors more than half the oil and gas pipelines in North America, discovered last September that the Chinese had hacked into its computer systems, it immedi- ately shut down remote access to its cli- ents’ systems. Company officials and U.S. intelli- gence agencies then grappled with a fundamental question: Why had the Chinese done it? Was the People’s Liberation Army, which is suspected of being behind the hacking group, trying to plant bugs into the system so they could cut off energy supplies and shut down the power grid if the United States and China ever con- fronted each other in the Pacific? Or were the Chinese hackers just trolling for industrial secrets, trying to rip off the technology and pass it along to China’s own energy companies? ‘‘We are still trying to figure it out,’’ a senior U.S. intelligence official said last week. ‘‘They could have been doing both.’’ Telvent, which also watches utilities and water treatment plants, ultimately managed to keep the hackers from breaking into its clients’ computers. At a moment when corporate Amer- ica is caught between what it sees as two different nightmares — preventing a crippling attack that brings down the United States’ most critical systems, and preventing Congress from mandat- ing that the private sector spend billions of dollars protecting against that risk — the Telvent experience resonates as a study in ambiguity. To some it is prime evidence of the threat that President Barack Obama highlighted in his State of the Union ad- dress, when he warned that ‘‘our en- emies are also seeking the ability to sab- otage our power grid, our financial institutions, our air traffic control sys- tems,’’ perhaps causing mass casual- ties. Mr. Obama called anew for legislation to protect critical infrastructure, which was killed last year by a Republican fili- buster after intensive lobbying by the Chamber of Commerce and other busi- ness groups. But the security breach of Telvent, which the Chinese government has denied, also raises questions of whether those fears — the subject of weekly re- search group reports, testimony and congressional studies — may be some- what overblown, or whether the precise nature of the threat has been misunder- stood. U.S. intelligence officials believe that the greater danger to the country’s in- frastructure may not even be China, but Iran, because of its avowal to retaliate for the Stuxnet virus created by the United States and Israel and unleashed BY CHRIS BUCKLEY As the National People’s Congress opens, the chief of the Chinese Commu- nist Party, Xi Jinping, is emphasizing his role as a champion of the military, using the armed forces to cement his political authority and present a tough stance in growing territorial disputes in the Pacific region. Mr. Xi will be appointed president at the end of the congress, the party-run Parliament that opens Tuesday for an annual session lasting 13 days. The 2,987 carefully vetted delegates are also vir- tually certain to approve another rise in military spending, after an 11.2 percent increase to 670 billion renminbi, or $106 billion, in 2012. On Monday, a spokeswoman for the Parliament, Vice Foreign Minister Fu Ying, broke with recent precedent and declined to announce Chinese military outlays for the year at a news confer- ence about the Congress session. The number will be disclosed in a budget re- leased when the session opens, she said. ‘‘We in China have endured the griev- ous lessons of having a weak national de- fense and suffering bullying by others,’’ Ms. Fu said. ‘‘The Chinese people have ASIF HASSAN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE A bombing’s aftermath Sifting through the wreckage onMonday, a day after a car bomb exploded in a ShiiteMuslimneighborhood in Karachi, killing at least 45 people and wounding 146. The city shut downMonday to mourn victims of the blast, the latest in a series of devastating attacks against Shiites as the country prepares for elections. In surprising first, baby deemed cured of H.I.V. could give a lift to research aimed at a cure, something that only a few years ago was thought to be virtually im- possible, though some experts said the findings in the baby would probably not be relevant to adults. The first person cured was Timothy Brown, known as the Berlin patient, a middle-agedmanwith leukemiawho re- ceived a bonemarrow transplant froma donor genetically resistant to H.I.V. in- fection. ‘‘For pediatrics, this is our Timothy Brown,’’ said Dr. Deborah Persaud, as- sociate professor at the Johns Hopkins Children’s Center in Maryland and lead author of the report on the baby. ‘‘It’s proof of principle that we can cure H.I.V. infection if we can replicate this case.’’ Dr. Persaud and other researchers spoke in advance of a presentation of the findings on Monday at the Confer- ence on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections in Atlanta. The results have not yet been published in a peer-re- viewed medical journal. Some outside experts, who have not yet heard all the details, said they needed convincing that the baby had truly been BY ANDREW POLLACK AND DONALD G. MCNEIL JR. Doctors announced that a baby had been cured of an H.I.V. infection for the first time, a startling development that could change how infected newborns are treated and sharply reduce the num- ber of children living with the virus that causes AIDS. The baby, born in rural Mississippi, was treated aggressively with anti- retroviral drugs starting around 30 hours after birth, something that is not usually done. If further study shows this More than three million children live with the virus. works in other babies, it will almost cer- tainly be recommended globally. The United Nations estimates that 330,000 babies were newly infected in 2011, the most recent year for which there is data, and that more than three million chil- dren globally are living with H.I.V. If the report, released Sunday, is con- firmed, the child born in Mississippi would be only the second well-docu- mented case of a cure in the world. That WANG ZHAO/AFP Xi Jinping, who is set to become president of China, favors a strong defense posture. deep historical memories of this problem, and so we need solid national defense.’’ Since Mao Zedong rode to victory in a revolutionary war, the country’s Com- munist leaders have regarded an utterly loyal military as the ultimate shield of their political power. Nearly four months since his appointment as party chief inNovember, Mr. Xi has made that shield his own, with greater speed and sureness than his recent predecessors. ‘‘Compared with the two previous leaders at a similar stage, Xi has already established closer, better relations with the military. They didn’t come to power with the same confidence,’’ said Chen Ziming, a commentator in Beijing who studies party affairs. Beyond being the only member of the powerful seven-member Politburo Standing Committee to also sit on the Central Military Commission, Mr. Xi already leads the military body, which controls the People’s Liberation Army. Mr. Xi is taking over from Hu Jintao, who had to wait two years before his predecessor, Jiang Zemin, handed him H.I.V., PAGE 4 How an upsta rt news outlet got on the court with Kim NEW YORK BY BRIAN STELTER Imagine being the HBO executive who hears this from one of the channel’s pro- ducing partners: ‘‘We think there’s an opportunity for us to get into North Ko- rea.’’ The executive was Michael Lom- bardo, and the partner was Vice Media, a New York media company with some- thing of a daredevil streak. The conver- sation took place about a month ago, when productionwas well under way on ‘‘Vice,’’ a newsmagazine that will have its premiere on HBO on April 5. The company’s bosses said they were planning a visit to the secretive country, centered on an exhibition basketball game with the flamboyant former bas- ketball star Dennis Rodman and three members of the Harlem Globetrotters. HBO decided to add what Mr. Lom- bardo said was ‘‘a little bit’’ of extra fi- nancing, beyond what it had already agreed to pay for the newsmagazine. ‘‘It felt like something that could be in- teresting for the show,’’ Mr. Lombardo, HBO’s president for programming, said last Friday as he recalled the meeting. By Friday, the tripwas not just ‘‘inter- esting,’’ it was international news. Kim Jong-un had shown up for the exhibition game in Pyongyang the day before, making Mr. Rodman and Vice’s film crew the first Americans known to have met the North Korean ruler since he in- North Korean leadership. At the U.S. State Department, reporters wanted to know why the government was not vis- ibly doing more to debrief Mr. Rodman about his interactions with Mr. Kim, the dictator whom he pronounced his ‘‘friend.’’ The Vice crew remains in North Ko- rea; several more days of filming are scheduled. But Mr. Rodman returned home over the weekend, and in his first interview — on ABC’s ‘‘This Week’’ on Sunday — he said Mr. Kimwas ‘‘a great guy’’ and said ‘‘he wants Obama to do one thing — call him.’’ That generated even more news headlines. To say this was all part of Vice’s mas- ter planwould overstate thematter. The AP Dennis Rodman, a former N.B.A. player, said Kim Jong-un was ‘‘a great guy.’’ herited power from his father in 2011. On television and online, people were debating which group was benefiting more from the publicity, Vice or the KOREA, PAGE 17 HACKING, PAGE 5 CHINA, PAGE 3 BUSINESS ASIA Japan bank nominee’s pledge Haruhiko Kuroda, the nominee to become the next governor of the Bank of Japan, saidMonday that he would do ‘‘whatever is needed’’ to end deflation in the Japanese economy. PAGE 16 Amazon under pressure A television documentary has moved union activists in Germany to raise awareness of working conditions at Amazon’s distribution centers. PAGE 16 Call for scripts starring Beijing A competition is seeking stories and film proposals fromU.S. screenwriters, with the catch that they must be about the Chinese capital. PAGE 17 VIEWS Roger Cohen So-called smart drugs, particularly Adderall, have become to college what steroids are to baseball: illicit performance enhancers for a fiercely competitive environment. PAGE 7 Bill Keller So, while we await the fate of Yellow- stone Park and food safety here in the sequester zone, let’s contemplate the road not taken by the White House — that is, the high road. PAGE 6 ONLINE Another try at an electric car Long before the Nissan Leaf and the Chevy Volt were born, India had its own electric car, the tiny REVAi, which sold less than 5,000 units worldwide and was ridiculed on the BBC show ‘‘Top Gear.’’ But its maker, Mahindra Reva, is raising its bets, with an electric four-seater hatchback called the E2O. India Ink got behind the wheel. global.nytimes.com/indiaink RICCARDOGANGALE/THE ASSOCIATED PRESS WORLDNEWS Kenya votes Long lines of voters formed in Kenya onMonday for a national election. At least four police officers were killed in an attack linked to the vote. PAGE 4 CULTURE Communing with games With ‘‘Applied Design,’’ which focuses on 14 classic video games, theMuseum of Modern Art in NewYork has begun ‘‘an experiment to isolate the experience of the interaction itself.’’ PAGE 12 Deadlock ends bid in Seoul A U.S. entrepreneur tapped by the president to lead a new technology ministry has resigned. PAGE 4 A joker in Italian politics Beppe Grillo, a comedian turned activist, spent years poking fun at politicians. Now, he is one. PAGE 5 NEWSSTAND PRICES France ¤ 3.00 IN THIS ISSUE No. 40,428 Business 16 Crossword 15 Culture 12 Fashion 9 Sports 14 Views 6 CURRENCIES STOCK INDEXES NEW YORK, MONDAY 10:00AM MONDAY PREVIOUS Euro €1= $1.3000 $1.3020 — The Dow 10:00am 14,089.66 unch. t Algeria Din 175 Lebanon LP 4,000 Pound £1= $1.5070 $1.5040 FTSE 100 3pm 6,347.93 –0.48% s t Andorra ¤ 3.00 Morocco Dh 22 Yen $1= ¥93.470 ¥93.560 Nikkei 225 close 11,652.29 +0.40% Antilles ¤ 3.00 Senegal CFA 2.200 s s Cameroon CFA 2.200 Tunisia Din 3.200 S. Franc $1= SF0.9420 SF0.9430 s FLYING TOURBILLON OIL Gabon CFA 2.200 Reunion ¤ 3.50 NEW YORK, MONDAY 10:00AM Light sweet crude $90.54 –$0.11 Full currency rates Page 19 t Ivory Coast CFA 2.200 .. 2 | TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2013 INTERNATIONAL HERALD TRIBUNE page two Few illusions as Afghan exit nears For the Europeans, the illusion that they and the United States would go in- to the Afghan combat mission together and leave together has been broken. ‘‘The Americans are throwing down the gauntlet to the Europeans,’’ said Markus Kaim, defense expert at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs in Berlin. As the United States rapidly draws down, another illusion is waiting to be shattered. It is the ability of the Afghan National Army, or A.N.A., to take over the security of the country by the end of 2014. NATO continues to heap praise on the abilities of the Afghan forces be- cause that would justify ending NATO’s combat role and because it be- lieves that Afghanistan must be re- sponsible for its own security. ‘‘The Afghan security forces have reached their overall recruiting tar- get,’’ a NATO official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity. ‘‘They are leading 80 percent of operations and are taking the lead for the security of 87 percent of the population,’’ he added. A recent report to Congress by the U.S. Defense Department paints a dif- ferent picture. It stated that the rate of attrition in the A.N.A. was very high, the level of retention was very low, and the logistic capabilities were inad- equate. Between October 2011 and Septem- ber 2012, the A.N.A. lost 27 percent of its fighting force, according to the re- port. The ‘‘attrition rate is higher than desirable for the Afghan Army,’’ the NATO official acknowledged. The retention rate, which refers to those soldiers who have completed their three-year enlistment and who then choose to remain, is even lower. ‘‘On average, the A.N.A. is only retain- ing 7 percent of its forces,’’ according to the independent Afghanistan Analysts Network, which monitors develop- ments in the country. Given the problems of attrition, re- tention and training, NATO defense ministers last month agreed to in- crease the A.N.A. to 352,000, up from 240,000, through 2018. ‘‘It is an investment that would be worth making because it would allow us greater flexibility as we take down our troops,’’ said Leon E. Panetta, the departing U.S. defense secretary. He did not say which countries would pay for the extra forces, given that most NATO countries are cutting their mili- tary budgets. The A.N.A.’s difficulties have implica- tions for human rights conditions and the rule of law. Indeed, both Americans and Euro- peans in 2001 once spoke about build- ing democracy in Afghanistan. Not anymore. That illusion has given way to trying to make the country stable. ‘‘The goals set for Afghanistan proved impossible,’’ Mr. Cordesman said. No European leader has disagreed. Judy Dempsey is editor in chief of Stra- tegic Europe at Carnegie Europe. (www.carnegieeurope.eu) E-MAIL: jdempsey@iht.com Judy Dempsey LETTER FROM EUROPE BERLIN Over the next 12 months, President Barack Obama will withdraw more than 34,000 U.S. troops from Af- ghanistan, halving the American con- tingent. By the end of 2014, when NATO’s combat mission ends and its new train- ing mission begins, diplomats say that the United States is planning to have no more than 10,000 troops available for Afghanistan. About 5,000 will focus on counter- terrorism operations. The remainder are expected to join the NATO training mission. The size of that mission, yet to be finalized, is expected to be between 8,000 and 12,000 troops. ‘‘This is the planning assumption, but no decision has been taken,’’ said Oana Lungescu, a NATO spokeswom- an. The number of U.S. troops that will be earmarked for Afghanistan after 2014 shows how much the United States needs to save money and how urgently it wishes to close this particu- lar chapter. Mr. Obama confirmed the U.S. inten- tion to pull out, and soon, during his State of the Union address. ‘‘By the end of next year, our war in Afghanistan will be over,’’ he said. Victory was not mentioned, nor was an end to fighting in Afghanistan. The Europeans, especially Germany, with 4,400 troops in Afghanistan, fear that they will be much more vulnerable to attacks by insurgents without a strong U.S. presence. Until now, the United States has been providing its European allies with lo- gistics and intelligence, air protection and evacuation for the wounded. Thomas de Maizière, the German de- fense minister, has repeatedly asked the United States what support would be available during the transition from the combat to the training mission. ‘‘The administration’s game is to rush the transition,’’ said Anthony H. Cordesman, a security expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. ‘‘It is a reflec- tion of the U.S.’s different priorities and different strategies. The Europeans should understand that,’’ he added. MOHAMMED BALLAS/THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Checkpoint clash Israeli soldiers detaining a Palestinian protester north of Jenin, West Bank, during a rally held to support Palestinian prisoners on hunger strikes in I sraeli jails. Several such rallies have been held over the past week, and the increasing unrest in theWest Bank has raised fears in Israel of a new Palestinian uprising. Turf bat tles behind real battles move the reinforcements, Mr. Nasr as- serts, the president undercut the lever- age needed to effectively pursue negotiations with the Taliban. ‘‘As we went from ‘fight and talk’ to ‘talk while leaving,’ the prospect of a good outcome began to grow dimmer,’’ he writes. Instead of taking risks in war or to pursue a peace settlement, he writes, the White House ‘‘was happy with the narrative of modest success in Afghan- istan and gradual withdrawal.’’ Benjamin J. Rhodes, a deputy nation- al security adviser, vigorously disputed Mr. Nasr’s interpretation of events. It was not customary to include State Department officials in presidential videoconferences with Mr. Karzai, Mr. Rhodes said. And the secrecy that sur- rounded preparations for presidential trips to Afghanistan, he added, made it impractical to take the special envoy and other interagency staff. Setting a withdrawal date from Af- ghanistan, Mr. Rhodes said, was essen- tial to signal that the U.S. commitment was not open-ended and to send the message that it was time for the Afghans to step up. Now dean of the Johns Hopkins Uni- versity School of Advanced Internation- al Studies in Washington, Mr. Nasr got his start in academia and never seriously contemplated a career in government. Mr. Nasr was asked by Mr. Holbrooke to join Mrs. Clinton’s foreign policy brain trust during her 2008 primary campaign. He then went to the State Department. Mr. Nasr said that he refrained from publishing his new book before the U.S. election in November to avoid the im- pression that he was trying to meddle in the political debate. ‘‘I did not want it to be a political book,’’ he said. Having returned to university life, Mr. Nasr said he thought it was important to provide his analysis of policy decisions to counter the view that the time for an activist foreign policy had past. And his verdict on the United States’ handling of the war he worked on is harsh. ‘‘The precepts were how tomake the conduct of this war politically safe for the administration rather than to solve the problem in a way that would protect America’s long-run national se- curity interests,’’ he said. WASHINGTON Ex-adviser’s book faults caution and politics in Obama foreign policy BY MICHAEL R. GORDON A new book by a former senior U.S. State Department policy expert paints a sharply critical picture of the Obama ad- ministration’s handling of foreign policy, detailing destructive turf battles and policy debates that challenge the White House’s claimthat itsmanagement of the Afghan war is a vital accomplishment. Written by Vali Nasr, an academic whowas recruited by the envoyRichard C. Holbrooke to work in the State De- partment, the book, ‘‘The Dispensable Nation,’’ is to be published in the United States next month. A lengthy excerpt from the book was published on Mon- day by Foreign Policy magazine. Part diplomatic memoir, part policy analysis, the book is a survey of foreign affairs during the Obama administra- tion. Mr. Nasr portrays the White House’s handling of foreign policy as overly cautious, sometimes disengaged and at times even politicized — an ap- proach he asserts has led to a general waning of U.S. influence abroad. His chapters on Afghanistan and Pa- kistan are likely to receive special atten- tion, as they cover the two years when Mr. Nasr had a ringside view of the ad- ministration’s policy making as a senior adviser for Mr. Holbrooke, the U.S. gov- ernment’s first special envoy for Af- ghanistan and Pakistan. Power struggles exist in all presiden- tial administrations. ButMr. Nasr writes that the ones betweenwhat he describes as politically minded aides at the White House and the State Department were particularly pernicious, especially since they centered on decisions about an Afghan conflict that President Barack Obama once called a ‘‘war of necessity.’’ Some of the disputes took the form of bureaucratic maneuvers. Turf-con- scious White House aides, Mr. Nasr writes, excluded Mr. Holbrooke from videoconferences that Mr. Obama had withPresident HamidKarzai of Afghan- CHRISTOPHER GREGORY/THE NEWYORK TIMES Vali Nasr is an academic who was recruited to work in the U.S. State Department. His new book, ‘‘The Dispensable Nation,’’ is part diplomatic memoir and part policy analysis. istan, and he was left behind on a presi- dential trip to Kabul, undermining his credibility with the Afghans. After Mr. Holbrooke’s death in 2010, he writes, White House officials made it clear that John Podesta, chief of staff to President Bill Clinton, was not an ac- ceptable choice for envoy. Hillary Rod- ham Clinton, then secretary of state, had been considering him to fill Mr. Hol- brooke’s post. Mr. Podesta was con- sidered to be too high-profile and poten- tially difficult for the White House to manage, Mr. Nasr states. The subtext for the squabbling was a deeper battle for influence over policy on Afghanistan and Pakistan. During the early months of Mr. Obama’s first term, Mr. Holbrooke set up the office of the Special Representative for Afghan- istan and Pakistan, which is still lodged in an inauspicious suite of offices near the State Department cafeteria. Mr. Nasr writes that the White House staff, which firmly controlled policy on Iran and the Arab-Israeli issue, was nev- er comfortable with the arrangement, all the more so since senior members of Mr. Obama’s national security staff had been active members of his campaign team, where they had done battle against Mrs. Clinton during the primaries. ‘‘Turf battles are a staple of every ad- ministration, but the Obama White House has been particularly ravenous,’’ he writes. ‘‘Those in Obama’s inner circle, veterans of his election cam- paign, were suspicious of Clinton. Even after Clinton proved she was a team player, they remained concerned about her popularity and feared that she could overshadow the president.’’ Reflecting on the White House staff, Adm. MikeMullen, who served as chair- man of the Joint Chiefs until September 2011, observed ‘‘they want to control ev- erything,’’ Mr. Nasr recounts. Whenever possible, he notes, Mrs. Clintonwent directly toMr. Obama to get around the ‘‘BerlinWall’’ of his staffers. The bigger problem, according to Mr. Nasr’s account, is the toll it took on policy. Early on in the Obama adminis- tration, the Holbrooke team wanted to initiate negotiationswith the Taliban, but the idea of such a diplomatic outreach was not endorsed for more than a year. ThoughMr. Holbrooke had not favored Mr. Obama’s ‘‘surge’’ of troops into Af- ghanistan, once it was decided hewanted to use the military buildup to create new leverage for the potential negotiations. But when Mr. Obama announced in June 2011 that he was beginning to re- ONLINE: JOIN THE CONVERSATION F.B.I. to help investigate American’s death ‘‘The tactics the Chinese communist party uses to persecute their perceived enemies are very similar to those the USSR used in their lost battle over Spain 60 years ago.’’ REX CHEUNG—PHILADELPHIA ihtrendezvous.com IN OUR PAGES ✴ 100, 75, 50 YEARS AGO 1913Wilson Takes Oath As President WASHINGTON Mr. WoodrowWilson was to-day [March 4] inaugurated as Presi- dent of the United States, andMr. Taft, for the first time in twenty-eight years, left public office to become a private cit- izen. Mr. Taft, in cheery vein, laughing and chatting with friends, left the fa- mous White House, and President Wilson, of serious vein, with a thin face which shows already signs of the re- sponsibility attached to the headship of a nation of nearly 90,000,000 people, entered. In striking contrast with the un- exampled blizzard which spoilt Presi- dent Taft’s inaugural procession four years ago, beautiful weather prevailed, and it was amid a flood of sunshine that the new President and his predecessor rode from the Legislative Buildings to lunch together at the official residence of the Chief Executive. This was before the great procession, which lasted from 2 p.m. until nearly 6 p.m. For the most part the ceremonial, though not lacking in pomp and spectacular display, was marked by Democratic simplicity. 1938 Soviet Army Coup Revealed MOSCOW The story of a military putsch to seize power in the Soviet Union, which was nipped within a few days of fulfillment, was spread today [March 4] on the record of the biggest treason trial in Bolshevik history. According to the evidence of A. P. Rosenholtz, Foreign Trade Commissar, Marshal Mikhail Tukhachevsky and seven other generals executed last June had planned to take over the Kremlin onMay Day, 1937. The plan was first postponed, Rosenholtz, who is one of the twenty-one defendants, said because Tukhachevsky was appoin- ted Soviet delegate to the London coron- ation. Tukhachevsky assured him, the Foreign Trade Commissar said, that the army leaders were all reliable, and Gamarnik, before his suicide, added that the O.G.P.U. would be paralyzed on the appointed day by General Gorbachev, then commander of the Moscow garris- on. 1963 The Plot to Kill de Gaulle PARIS Three ringleaders in the ma- chine-gun attack against President Charles de Gaulle last summer were sentenced to death tonight [March 4] by a special military court. The condemned men are Lt. Col. Jean-Marie Bastien- Thiry, 35, Lt. Alain de Bougrenet de la Tocnave, 37, and Jacques Prevost, 31. All 14 men on trial were found guilty of par- ticipating in the attempt to assassinate Gen. de Gaulle Aug. 22. However, five defendants were tried in absentia, and by law, their cases must be reconsidered before a court if they are captured. Three of the men tried in absentia were also condemned to death. The other sen- tences ranged from three to 15 years in prison. Biden poise d to extend his foreign policy clout WASHINGTON BY MARK LANDLER When Secretary of State John Kerry was scrambling last week to prevent the leader of the Syrian opposition from boycotting a meeting with him in Rome — a snub that could have spoiled his maiden voyage as the United States’ chief diplomat — he leaned on an old Senate colleague to help him out: Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. After Mr. Kerry extracted an agree- ment from the Syrian opposition leader, Moaz al-Khatib, to show up, Mr. Biden sealed the deal with a follow-up call. The vice president, who had met Mr. Khatib at a security conference in Munich, praised him for his courage, told him how important the meeting was and promised to stay in touch, according to the White House. It was a classic example of how Mr. Biden has used personal relationships to amass influence in the Obama admin- istration — a talent that current and group in 2009, he warned them ‘‘you’re not going to like this,’’ before laying out Mr. Obama’s demand, largely rebuffed, that Israel stop building Jewish settle- ments in the West Bank. Officials said that this time he would be more concili- atory, presaging a less confrontational approach during the president’s visit. In addition to pushing for a faster time- table for withdrawing troops from Af- ghanistan, he was also among those who opposed supplyingweapons to the rebels in Syria — a proposal developed by Dav- id H. Petraeus, the former director of the C.I.A., and supported by Hillary Rodham Clinton, then the secretary of state. Mr. Obama gave Mr. Biden his own turf in the first term by handing him the Iraq portfolio, and the vice president helped engineer the brisk U.S. with- drawal from that war. But with Iraq re- ceding as an issue for the United States, the question is, What turf might Mr. Biden try to claim now? China offers a tantalizing possibility, given that he has cultivated ties to its in- coming leader, Xi Jinping. Mr. Biden spent hours with Mr. Xi, the Chinese vice president, in China in 2011, and again last year when he played host to him inWashington. With Mr. Xi slated to become presi- dent at the end of the National People’s Congress in Beijing, Mr. Obama will be- come his official counterpart. But Mr. Biden’s relationship with Mr. Xi, offi- cials said, would give himan insight into China’s leadership that could expand his role informally. Mrs. Clinton and the former Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner, each staked their claim to China through an annual meeting known as the Strategic and Economic Dialogue. While that dia- logue is expected to continue, neither Mr. Kerry nor the new Treasury secre- tary, Jacob J. Lew, has the China experi- ence that they did. ‘‘There is reasonable speculation about whether Kerry and Lew are going to be Hillary-Geithner redux,’’ said Jef- frey A. Bader, a senior director for Asia at the National Security Council from 2009 to 2011. AP Mr. Biden’s portfolio may widen thanks to personal ties and the departure of rivals. former officials predicted would allow him to further expand his influence on foreign policy during President Barack Obama’s second term. Mr. Biden was shifting to another part of theMiddleEast onMonday, setting the stage for Mr. Obama’s first presidential trip to Israel later this month, in a speech to the annual conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, an influ- ential pro-Israel lobbying group. When Mr. Biden last spoke to the .. TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2013 | 3 THE GLOBAL EDITION OF THE NEW YORK TIMES Wor ld News asia africa BRIEFLY Asia Taking reins, Xi shores up support frommilitary CHINA, FROMPAGE 1 chairmanship of the Central Military Commission. Mr. Jiang dealt gingerly with the military in his first years as leader, Mr. Chen said, overshadowed by the party patriarch Deng Xiaoping. Since succeeding Mr. Hu as party chief and military chairman in Novem- ber, Mr. Xi has visited army units or met commanders and troops at least nine times, according to state news reports. His activities included a brief trip on a new naval destroyer that is deployed in the South China Sea, and meeting com- manders of the Second Artillery Corps, which manages China’s strategic mis- siles, including nuclear weapons. Mr. Xi has also assumed charge of a secretive civilian-military group steer- ing strategy in maritime disputes, par- ticularly the clash with Japan over a cluster of islands in the East China Sea, Western analysts say. The Chinese military owes its para- mount loyalty to the party and its leader, not the civilian government. In private, Mr. Xi has said absolute military obedi- ence to the party is essential to ensuring the Chinese Communist Party is not wiped out like its Soviet counterpart. ‘‘Any paramount leader needs the support of the P.L.A. and makes ges- tures in that direction. I think that’s what Xi’s doing,’’ Andrew Scobell, a se- nior political scientist for the RAND Corp. who studies Chinese security policy, said of the People’s Liberation Army. ‘‘It’s kind of like how a kid holds on to a security blanket. The party is more secure than it thinks, but it needs that security blanket of the P.L.A.’’ Mr. Xi’s background also helps to ex- plain his relative easewith generals, said Mr. Chen, the analyst. The son of a revo- lutionary leader, Mr. Xi worked early on as an aide to a general, Geng Biao, who served as defense minister in 1981-82. Many Western experts believe real Chinese military spending is higher than the public number by a large de- gree. A Pentagon annual report to Con- gress last year estimated that China ac- tually spent $120 billion to $180 billion on its armed forces in 2011. Richard A. Bitzinger, a researcher at the Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, said he believed the public military budget was now reasonably accurate. Even with generous budget in- creases, Mr. Bitzinger said, China’s mil- PHNOMPENH Khmer Rouge trial on hold amid translators’ strike Cambodian translators angry that they have gone without pay for three months stopped working at the U.N.- backed genocide trial of former Khmer Rouge leaders onMonday, a new set- back for an international justice effort that has been hobbled by conflicts with the Cambodian government. A Khmer Rouge tribunal spokesman, Neth Pheaktra, said that about 30 Cam- bodian staff members from the transla- tion section announced they were going on strike just before the court was to hear testimony from a foreign expert. Testimony that had been scheduled to be given this week and next has been postponed until the dispute can be re- solved, he said. Mr. Neth Pheaktra said local staff members who worked at the tribunal have not been paid since December be- cause the countries that have agreed to fund the tribunal have not contributed on time. Foreign workers are paid through a separate budget. (AP) KUALA LUMPUR Malaysia sends troops to end Borneo standoff Malaysia sent hundreds of soldiers to Borneo onMonday to help deal with Filipino intruders who have killed eight police officers in the bloodiest security emergency inMalaysia in years. Nineteen Filipino gunmen have also been killed since Friday in skirmishes that shockedMalaysians unaccus- tomed to such violence in their country, which borders insurgency-plagued southern provinces in the Philippines and Thailand. The main group of in- truders comprises nearly 200 members of a Philippine Muslim clan, some bear- ing rifles, who slipped past naval patrols last month, landed at a remote Malaysian coastal village in the Lahad Datu district of eastern Sabah State and insisted the territory was theirs. Army reinforcements from other states inMalaysia were being deployed to Sabah and would help the police bol- ster public confidence by patrolling parts of the state’s eastern seaboard, said Sabah Police Chief Hamza Taib. (AP) DHAKA, BANGLADESH Blast near Indian leader’s hotel The police saidMonday that a small homemade bomb exploded outside a hotel in the Bangladeshi capital where President PranabMukherjee of India is staying. A local police official, Biplab Sarker, saidMr. Pranab was not in the Pan Pacific Sonargaon Hotel when the explosion happenedMonday. He said no one was hurt. (AP) ANDYWONG/THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Military delegates to the National People’s Congress in Beijing on Monday. The son of a revolutionary general, Xi Jinping has fostered ties with the People’s Liberation Army. itary strength remains far behind that of the United States, which has a military budget about five times higher than China’s official figures. ‘‘There’s a lot of progress in modernizing the P.L.A., but a lot of it is just a high-tech veneer that goes over a system that is still pretty conservative,’’ he said. Mr. Xi has signaled that he wants to shake off the inefficiency and corrup- tion that have undermined the military. Since taking the top party post, he has repeatedly demanded ‘‘battle readi- ness’’ from the military and sent ships and aircraft to assert China’s claims over islands also claimed by Japan. Mr. Xi’s comments were a call for vi- gilance from the military, not war foot- ing, said several experts. ‘‘He’s not beating the drums for an imminent battle. It’s all about training,’’ said Den- nis J. Blasko, a former U.S. military at- taché in Beijing and author of the book ‘‘The Chinese Army Today.’’ In the view of army commanders, China remains plagued by enmity and hazards and is the target of military bel- ligerence, not its initiator. ‘‘The United States and Japan are worried that we will catch up, and are doing their utmost to contain China’s development, and by no means should we be fooled,’’ said Liu Yuan, a Chinese general, in comments published last month by Global Times, a popular Chinese newspaper. China’s first security priority should be ‘‘vigilance against and prevention of the West’s strategy of infiltration and subversion,’’ Qi Jianguo, a P.L.A. deputy chief of staff, told a party news- paper, The Study Times, in January. Themain risk posed by China’s mix of military swagger and insecurity is not a deliberately initiated conflict, analysts say. Rather, combined with poor com- munication between the opaque mili - tary and civilian bureaucracies, it could lead to missteps that spiral into danger- ous confrontation. ‘‘They’ve got a system of governance that originated in the caves of Yan’an,’’ from where Mao commanded his revo- lutionary war, said David Finkelstein, director of China Studies at CNA, a group in Alexandria, Virginia, that provides analysis to the U.S. govern- ment andmilitary. ‘‘Frankly, China’s na- tional security interests have expanded faster than the capacity of their extant institutions to manage.’’ Jane Perlez contributed reporting from Washington. ONLINE: IHT RENDEZVOUS Advocates for change were vocal before the Parliament session, Didi Kirsten Tatlowwrites. ihtrendezvous.com Australia disasters laid at climate ch ange’s feet SYDNEY stretch out across decades and dramat- ically alter the landscape. According to the report, however, the frequency and ferocity of recent extreme weather events indicates that those trends are ac- celerating and unlikely to abate unless serious steps are taken to prevent further changes to the planet’s environment. At least 123weather records fell during the 90-day period encompassing this past summer, according to the report. In- cluded on that list were milestones like the hottest summer on record, the hot- test day for Australia as a whole and the hottest seven consecutive days ever re- corded. To put it into perspective, in the 102 years since Australia began gather- ing national records, there have been 21 days where the country averaged more than 39 degrees Celsius (102 Fahrenheit), and eight of those days occurred in 2013. Will Steffen, who wrote the report, said that the findings were consistent with an overall global acceleration of weather factors like rising tempera- tures and more intense storm systems attributed by scientists to human- caused climate change. ‘‘Over the last 50 years, we’ve seen a doubling of the record hot days, we’re getting twice as much record hot weath- er than we did in the mid-20th century,’’ he told the ABC. ‘‘In fact, if you look at the last decade, we’re getting three times asmany record hot days aswe are record cold days, so the statistics are telling us too that there’s an influence on extreme events — they’re shifting.’’ Climate scientists have long been hes- itant to link individual weather events directly to climate change. Australian climate scientists in particular have been cautious to connect the two in part because of the country’s naturally oc- curring cycles of drought and floods, which are already extreme when com- pared with much of the rest of the world. The sheer intensity and frequency of these recent weather events, however, seems to be stripping away some of that reticence. The report released Monday, which carries the added weight of hav- ing been carried out by a government body, could signal the beginnings of a shift in those considerations. The Cli- mate Commission is an independent panel of experts that issues reports on behalf of the government but is not sub- ject to its direction or oversight. ‘‘Statistically, there is a 1-in-500 chance that we are talking about natur- al variation causing all these new re- cords,’’ Mr. Steffen, who is director of the Climate Change Institute at Aus- tralian National University, told The SydneyMorningHerald. ‘‘Not toomany people would want to put their life sav- ings on a 500-to-1 horse.’’ Normal cycles of drought and floods are growing more severe, report says BRIEFLY Africa BY MATT SIEGEL Climate change was unquestionably a major driving force behind a string of extreme weather events that altern- ately scorched and soaked large swaths of Australia this summer, according to a report issuedMonday by the Australian government’s Climate Commission. A blistering four-month heat wave cul- minated in January in bush fires that tore through the eastern and southeastern coasts of the country, where most Aus- tralians live. Those record-setting tem- peratures were followed by torrential rains and flooding in the more densely populated states of NewSouthWales and Queensland that left at least six people dead and caused roughly 2.4 billion Aus- tralian dollars, or $2.43 billion, in damage along the eastern seaboard. PARIS A North Africa Qaeda leader is probably dead, France says The head of France’s joint chiefs of staff saidMonday that it was ‘‘prob- able’’ that Abdelhamid Abu Zeid, a se- nior leader of Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, had been killed in military operations by French and Chadian forces in northernMali. But the military official, Adm. Édou- ard Guillaud, also said claims by Chadi- an officials that their forces had killed Mr. Zeid could not be confirmed be- cause ‘‘we haven’t recovered the body.’’ Speaking on Europe-1 radio, Admiral Guillaud also noted unverified chatter on Internet jihadist forums saying that Mokhtar Belmokhtar, who is said to have commanded a deadly raid on a gas-processing complex in the Algerian desert in January, was alive. A Chadian military chief claimed that Mr. Bel- mokhtar, too, had been killed in fighting in northernMali. (AP) LONDON British foreign secretary meets with officials inMali WilliamHague, the British foreign sec- retary, was inMali onMonday for talks with members of the Malian govern- ment about the political process in the country. Mr. Hague met with President Dion- counda Traoré and Prime Minister Di- ango Cissoko, along with the foreign minister. The foreign secretary also planned to meet with the commander of the African-led intervention force and the deputy commander of the Euro- pean Union’s training mission to the Malian armed forces. On his arrival onMonday, Mr. Hague saidMali was ‘‘at the heart of’’ com- plex political and security challenges with regional implications, according to a British statement. (AP) GREGWOOD/AFP Dead sheep in New South Wales, where bush fires raged in January. The same month, flooding killed at least six people. The report from the Climate Commis- sion, titled ‘‘TheAngry Summer,’’ argues that the traditional cycles of drought and flooding rains to which Australians have long been accustomed are growing expo- nentially more severe as a result of what Tim Flannery, the commission’s leader, called a ‘‘climate on steroids.’’ ‘‘I think one of the best ways of think- ing about it is imagining that the base line has shifted,’’ he told the Australian Broadcasting Corp. ‘‘If an athlete takes steroids, for example,’’ he said, ‘‘their base line shifts, they’ll do fewer slow times and many more record-breaking fast times.’’ ‘‘The same thing is happeningwith our climate system. As it warms up, we’re getting fewer cold days and cold events and many more record hot events.’’ Australia has historically experienced intense climatic variations that can .. 4 | TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2013 INTERNATIONAL HERALD TRIBUNE world news asia africa united states Bid to aid polar bears joins U.S. and Russia MOSCOW Deadlock in Seoul ends bid for tech ministry SEOUL Amid frosty relations, nations team up to push highest level of protection U.S. entrepreneur quits as assembly stalls plans for agency reorganization BY DAVIDM. HERSZENHORN With relations between Russia and the United States increasingly frosty be- cause of entrenched disagreements over Syria, child adoptions, missile systems and other issues, the two countries have quietly joined forces to help polar bears. Russia and the United States, two of the five countries where polar bears live, are now the main allies pushing for greater protection for the bears under a global treaty on endangered species, which is being reviewed this week at a conference in Bangkok. ‘‘It really seems that both countries werewilling to put aside their differences in order to work together to help save the polar bear,’’ said Jeffrey Flocken, North American regional director for the Inter- national Fund for Animal Welfare. Russia’s decision to cooperate with the United States not only defies a re- cent wave of anti-Americanism in Rus- sia, but it also reverses Moscow’s oppo- sition to a similar U.S. proposal at the endangered species conference three years ago. The impetus for this shift may be the increasing danger to polar bears and the return to the presidency of Vladimir V. Putin, who often ex- presses his personal affection for wild- life and has declared 2013 to be the ‘‘Year of the Environment’’ in Russia. Scientists and wildlife conservation groups say the world’s polar bear popu- lation, estimated at 20,000 to 25,000, is in grave peril because of climate change, which is depleting ice levels, and in- creased hunting and trade in skins and parts. ‘‘We call this current situation cata- strophic, because polar bears are now impacted from all sides,’’ said Nikita Ovsyannikov, the deputy director of the Russian polar bear preserve on Wran- gel Island, in the Chukchi Sea northwest of Alaska. ‘‘Both our countries recognize the danger, and they understand that mea- sures have to be taken,’’ Mr. Ovsyan- nikov said by telephone from the confer- ence in Bangkok. The U.S.-Russian proposal would grant polar bears the highest level o f BY CHOE SANG-HUN A South Korea-born American entre- preneur, tapped by President Park Geun-hye to lead South Korea’s science and technology ministry, resigned on Monday, blaming political gridlock that has delayed his confirmation hearing at the National Assembly. The choice of Jeong H. Kim, the pres- ident of New Jersey-based Bell Labs whose immigrant success story in the United States has been widely reported in his birth country, as South Korea’s newly created ‘‘minister of creative fu- ture and science’’ had been the high- light of Ms. Park’s reorganization of the government. Mr. Kim, 52, is the first non-Korean citizen appointed to a cabinet post in South Korea. He was also asked to head a powerful new government agency, which Ms. Park considered a key to bringing about a new economic boom through innovations in information and communications industries in one of the world’s most wired countries. ‘‘I left behind what I have built in the United States and returned home so I could devote the rest of my life to the country where I was born,’’ Mr. Kim said in a news conference on Monday, announcing his resignation. ‘‘But as I watched the confusion over the govern- ment reorganization bill, my dreams were also shattered.’’ Mr. Kim’s surprise announcement came as a monthlong political negoti- ation on Ms. Park’s government reor- ganization bill had bogged down at the National Assembly over the portfolio of the new ministry, a mammoth agency that would absorb science, technology and other major innovation-related op- erations from other ministries. The main opposition Democratic United Party accusedMs. Park of trying to use the newministry as a political tool to control the broadcasting sector in a society where allegations of govern- ment influence on broadcast journalism have been a volatile political issue, caus- ing prolonged strikes by unionized tele- vision reporters and producers. Opposition lawmakers have also raised questions aboutMr. Kim’s suitab- ility as a cabinet member, noting that Mr. Kim had once served on the Extern- al Advisory Board at the C.I.A. and as a director at In-Q-Tel, a venture capital firm set up with C.I.A. funding. In South Korea, whose political arena and blogosphere can be viciously di- vided and fervently nationalistic, critics of Ms. Park raised fears that Mr. Kim might even work as a U.S. spy in the South Korean cabinet. They raised questions about whether a Korean- American who took an oath of allegi- ance to the United States and served on a nuclear submarine as a U.S. Navy of- ficer can be trusted to be a patriotic pub- lic servant in South Korea, while others argued that the country must move be- yond myopic nationalism to recruit tal- ents among Korean expatriates. ‘‘It’s deeply regrettable that he was frustrated by the political reality in our country and had to resign,’’ Ms. Park said Monday during a nationally tele- vised speech. ‘‘We must recruit Korean talents abroad for our national develop- ment. To do so, we must create a politic- al environment where such talents re- turn home and do their best.’’ Mr. Kim emigrated to the United States with his parents when he was 14. Although he was not as big a household name in South Korea as Ban Ki-moon, who serves as the U.N. secretary gener- al, his life story has been widely praised in South Korea, whose news media closely follow the achievements of Korean expatriates. He founded Yurie Systems, a technology company named after one of his two daughters, and sold it to Lucent Technologies for $1 billion in 1998. With his appointment to the cabinet last month, Mr. Kim resigned as presi- dent of Bell Labs and regained South Korean citizenship. As doubts raged over his background, he even offered to forfeit his U.S. citizenship to prove his dedication to his birth country. In her speech, Ms. Park invited the op- position leadership to her office to break the deadlock on her government reor- ganization bill, which left many of the cabinet posts in her week-old govern- ment unapproved at Parliament. She denied that she intended to control the news media by transferring some of the regulatory policies on cable, satellite and Internet television from the Korea Com- munications Commission, where some of the commissioners are appointed by the opposition, to the newministry. In South Korea, where ‘‘people watch television on their mobile phone,’’ she said that to promote a ‘‘creative econo- my,’’ it was essential to integrate policies on telecommunications and broadcasting by bringing them together in one government agency. The opposition rejected her invita- tion, calling Ms. Park high-handed and too uncompromising. WILL BOASE/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE Prime Minister Raila Odinga of Kenya casting his vote in Nairobi on Monday. Analysts say Mr. Odinga, a leading contender for president, is not expected to win on the first ballot. In Kenya, long voting lines, and violence In northeastern Kenya, near the bor- der with Somalia, there was a small ex- plosion at a polling station, and a gren- ade was thrown into a police camp. Early reports indicated there were few, if any, casualties in the incidents. Top Kenyan politicians were urging voters to remain calm and avoid the mayhem that erupted at the end of 2007 and early 2008 when a disputed election ignited ethnic grievances and set off clashes that killed about 1,000 people. ‘‘We must keep the peace,’’ said Wil- liam Ruto, after voting Monday in his hometown, Eldoret. Mr. Ruto is running for deputy president and has been charged by the International Criminal Court with crimes against humanity connected to the violence in the last election. Prime Minister Raila Odinga, one of the leading contenders for president, brimmed with confidence as he stepped into a cardboard ballot box in a Nairobi slum and cast his vote. ‘‘Today, Kenyans have a date with destiny,’’ he said. Kenya is one of the most industrial- ized countries in Africa, a beachhead for Western interests and a close U.S. ally, but its history has been haunted by in- tense and often violent ethnic politics. Mr. Odinga, an ethnic Luo, has said he was cheated out of victory in 2007. His main rival is Uhuru Kenyatta, a Kikuyu and the son of the first Kenyan president. Mr. Kenyatta has also been charged by the International Criminal Court with crimes against humanity, ac- cused of bankrolling Kikuyu death squads that murdered scores of Luo ci- vilians in 2008. The Kikuyu-Luo political feud goes back decades to Kenya’s inde- pendence fromBritain in 1963. Many analysts predicted that neither Mr. Odinga nor Mr. Kenyatta would win more than 50 percent of the vote, which would lead to a runoff in April. The votingMonday seemed to be pro- ceeding smoothly in some areas but was bumpy in others, with polling stations not opening on time. There were also problems with the new biometric voter identification process. The new digital equipment was not working at many polling stations, and officials had to re- vert to printed voting lists, which are thought to be more susceptible to cor- ruption. This election is the most complicated Kenya has ever held. A host of new posi- tions have been created, like governor- ships, senate seats and county women’s representatives, in an attempt to change the winner-take-all nature of Kenyan politics. In some places, the sheer number of ballots caused long delays. ‘‘The cracks are beginning to show,’’ Mr. Odinga said Monday morning. But he added he was still confident that, this time, he would win. NAIROBI At least 4 police officers killed in Mombasa in attack linked to election BY JEFFREY GETTLEMAN Millions of Kenyans poured into polling stations across the country on Monday in a crucial, anxiously awaited national election, and early reports said some vi- olence erupted in the coastal region around Mombasa, recalling far greater bloodletting in the last national vote five years ago. Across the land, the turnout appeared to be tremendous. Starting hours before dawn, lines of voters wrapped in blankets and heavy coats stretched for about a kilometer and a half, or nearly a mile, in some places. But inMombasa, on the IndianOcean, at least four police officers were butchered with machetes in an overnight attack that the authorities be- lieve was carried out by the Mombasa Republican Council, a fringe separatist group that opposes the elections and be- lieves the Kenyan coast should be a sep- arate country. News reports put the death toll higher, with Reuters quoting senior police offi- cials as saying that nine security of- ficers, two civilians and six attackers had died. Other reports put the tally at 12. Some Western election observers in Mombasa, the biggest Kenyan coastal city, have pulled back to their hotels be- cause of security concerns. Scientists say the polar bear population is in grave peril. protection under the treaty, called the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora, by banning international com- mercial trade in skins, furs and other items made from bears. And it is one of the most contentious issues at the Bangkok conference. Two other countries — Canada and Denmark, representing Greenland — oppose such a ban, setting the stage for a showdown that could hinge on the po- sition of Norway, the fifth countrywhere polar bears live, which has not yet an- nounced publicly how it plans to vote. The European Union, which controls the largest bloc of votes at the treaty conference, has put forward two alter- native proposals to improve protections for polar bears without formally shifting their status and banning commercial trade. The United States is opposing those alternatives. Only Canada, which has the world’s largest polar bear population, still per- mits overseas trade in bear skins and parts. Mr. Ovsyannikov said that even in sanctuaries, scientists were observing a general weakening in the polar bear population, including lower reproduc- tion rates and higher mortality. ‘‘The situation of polar bears is get- ting more and more similar to the story of the Great Auk,’’ said Mr. Ovsyan- nikov, referring to the Arctic bird that became extinct in the mid-19th century. ‘‘We start thinking and start discussing what actions we have to take when it is too late.’’ Thailand vows to ban ivory The prime minister of Thailand has pledged to end the nation’s ivory trade, responding to growing calls from inter- national wildlife groups desperate to stop the slaughter of African elephants, Dan Levin reported fromBeijing. In a speech Sunday at the opening of the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species conference in Bangkok, the prime minister, Yingluck Shinawatra, promised to amend the kingdom’s laws, which critics say in- clude loopholes that have allowed smugglers to ferry African tusks to Thai markets and onward, often to China, the world’s top destination for illegal ivory. ‘‘We will work towards amending the national legislation with the goal of put- ting an end to ivory trade and to be in line with international norms,’’ Ms. Yingluck said. She did not give a timeline for amending the legislation, a point of con- cern for conservationists, who note that Thailand has been promising to change its laws for several years, to little effect. MARKODJURICA/RETUERS Casting a ballot in Gatundu, Kenya. Voting in the national election began hours before dawn, with long lines of voters wrapped in heavy coats reported at some polling stations. Baby deemed cured of H.I.V. in a startling first H.I.V., FROMPAGE 1 infected. If not, this would be a case of prevention, something already done for babies born to infected mothers. ‘‘The one uncertainty is really definit- ive evidence that the child was indeed infected,’’ said Dr. Daniel R. Kuritzkes, chief of infectious diseases at Brigham andWomen’s Hospital in Boston. Dr. Persaud and some other outside scientists said they were certain the baby — whose name and gender were not disclosed — had been infected. There were five positive tests in the baby’s first month of life — four for viral RNA and one for DNA. And once the treatment started, the virus levels in the baby’s blood declined in the pattern characteristic of infected patients. Dr. Persaud said there was also little doubt that the child experienced what she called a ‘‘functional cure.’’ Now two and a half years old, the child has been off drugs for a year with no sign of func- tioning virus. The mother arrived at a rural hospital in the autumn of 2010 already in labor and gave birth prematurely. She had not seen a doctor during the pregnancy and did not know she had H.I.V. When a test showed themothermight be infected, the hospital transferred the baby to the Uni- versity of Mississippi Medical Center, where it arrived at about 30 hours old. Dr. Hannah B. Gay, an associate pro- fessor of pediatrics, ordered two blood draws an hour apart to test for the pres- ence of the virus’s RNA and DNA. The tests found a level of virus at about 20,000 copies per milliliter, fairly low for a baby. But since tests so early in life were positive, it suggests the infec- tion occurred in the womb rather than during delivery, Dr. Gay said. Typically a newborn with an infected mother would be given one or two drugs as a prophylactic measure. But Dr. Gay said that based on her experience, she almost immediately used a three-drug regimen aimed at treatment, not pro- phylaxis, not even waiting for the test results confirming infection. Virus levels rapidly declined with treatment andwere undetectable by the time the baby was a month old. That re- mained the case until the baby was 18 months old, after which the mother stopped coming to the hospital and stopped giving the drugs. When the mother and child returned five months later, Dr. Gay expected to see high viral loads in the baby. But the tests were negative. Suspecting a laboratory error, she orderedmore tests. ‘‘Tomy greater sur- prise, all of these came back negative,’’ Dr. Gay said. Dr. Gay contacted Dr. Katherine Luzuriaga, an immunologist at the Uni- versity of Massachusetts, who was working with Dr. Persaud and others on a project to document possible pediatric cures. The researchers, sponsored by amfAR, the Foundation for AIDS Re- search, put the baby through a battery of sophisticated tests. They found tiny amounts of some viral genetic material but no virus able to replicate, even lying dormant in so-called reservoirs in the body. There have been scattered cases re- ported in the past, including one in The New England Journal of Medicine in 1995, of babies clearing the virus, even without treatment. Those reports were greeted skeptic- ally, particularly since testing methods were not very sophisticated back then. But those reports and this new one could suggest there is something differ- ent about babies’ immune systems, said Dr. Joseph McCune of the University of California, San Francisco. One hypothesis is that the drugs killed off the virus before it could estab- lish a hidden reservoir in the baby. One reason people cannot be cured now is that the virus hides in a dormant state, out of reach of existing drugs. When drug therapy is stopped, the virus can emerge from hiding. ‘‘That goes along with the concept that, if you treat before the virus has had an opportunity to establish a large reservoir and before it can destroy the immune system, there’s a chance you can withdraw therapy and have no vi- rus,’’ said Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the di- r ector of the National Institute for Al- In the United States, transmission from mother to child is rare — several experts said there were only about 200 cases a year or even fewer — because infected mothers are generally treated during their pregnancies. If the mother has been treated during pregnancy, babies are typically given six weeks of prophylactic treatment with one drug, AZT, while being tested for infection. In cases like the Missis- sippi one, where the mother was not treated during pregnancy, standards have been changing, but typically two drugs are used. But women in many developing coun- tries are less likely to be treated during pregnancy. And in South Africa and oth- er African countries that lack sophisti- cated testing, babies born to infected mothers are often not tested until after sixweeks, saidDr. Yvonne Bryson, chief of global pediatric infectious disease at the University of California, Los Angeles. Dr. Bryson, who was not involved in the Mississippi work, said she was cer- tain the baby had been infected and called the finding ‘‘one of themost excit- ing things I’ve heard in a long time.’’ Studies are being planned to see whether early testing and aggressive treatment can work for other babies. While the bone marrow transplant that cured Mr. Brown is an arduous and life- threatening procedure, the Mississippi treatment is not and could become a new standard of care. While it might be difficult for some poorer countries to do, treating for only a year or two would be cost effective, ‘‘sparing the kid a lifetime of antiretro- viral therapy,’’ said Rowena Johnston, director of research at amfAR. Now two and a half years old, the child has been off drugs for a year with no sign of functioning virus. lergy and Infectious Diseases. Adults, however, typically do not know they are infected right as it happens, he said. Dr. Steven Deeks, professor of medi- cine at the University of California, San Francisco, said that if the reservoir nev- er established itself, then he would not call it a true cure, though this was some- what a matter of semantics. ‘‘Was there enough time for a latent reservoir, the true barrier to cure, to establish itself?’’ he said. Still, he and others said, the results could lead to a new protocol for quickly testing and treating infants.
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